2012年6月16日星期六

Greece do not want to exit the euro area

The pundits predicted that Greece will have to exit from the euro after Sunday's election. However, this is not the Greek people expect to see results.
Photo LOUIS KLAREVAS, | 2012.7.14

The global market is anxiously awaiting the results were out of the parliamentary elections held in Greece on Sunday. No one seems able to predict exactly which party will win, which also exacerbated the tensions. Now, the biggest concern is that may be an anti-agreement coalition to boycott the salvage agreement existing in Greece and the European Commission, European Central Bank and the IMF composed of the troika. Many analysts agreed that if this happens, Greece may be expelled from the euro area, thus threatening the future of the European currency.
However, regardless of which one political party will win in Sunday's election, these uncertainties neglected Greece will be how the election of the next coalition government will be introduced to what kind of policy. In the past month, a large survey of Greek voters indicates that the future may be how, than the commentator revealed more certainty.
First of all, the right-wing New Democratic Party and left-wing SYRIZA ahead. This the two parties, there will be a victory in this Sunday's election, 50 seats in Parliament. However, both can not guarantee access to nearly 40 percent of the vote to a separate component of the government of the majority of seats. Therefore, any government formed after the June 17 presidential election will be a coalition government, which also means that the mainstream public sentiment will become very sensitive.
These views of the public what is it? Most of the Greek masses about a political party in charge of Greece. For them, the most important thing is to ensure that the elections produce a workable government so that all parties can work together to avoid Greece were expelled from the EU. Unless the next Greek government is stupid enough to flagrant contempt for the firm intention of the voters, otherwise, we can be confident that Greece will take the necessary means to perform the masses to relax the tight constraints and to maintain the currency two will.
MARC nominal survey a recent survey showed that only nine percent of the Greek people want the next government continues to implement the policy of austerity signed in February through the bailout. However, this does not mean that the Greek people against the European Commission, European Central Bank, IMF composed of "Troika" conditional aid. Two recent surveys show that only a fifth of Greeks completely out of this agreement. After two years of continuous hard austerity economic, most Greeks would rather hope that the new government be able to modify the monetary policy tightening. Opposed to the re-negotiation, to reflect subtle changes in the position of the Greek masses. Regardless of which faction prevailed in Sunday's election, which is able to accept the position under the next government.
Greek Another clearly established tendency is to stay in the euro area, to avoid back to the era with drachma. The votes have consistently showed that approximately 70 percent to 85 people want to continue to use the euro. A GPO vote initiated by the end of May or even reality 81 per cent of Greek voters believe that the Greek government should "at all costs to maintain the existing currency.
For Greece, the masses, to maintain the euro is undoubtedly the most important purpose of this policy. Euros more than anything else, including the protocol. A survey conducted by the reality, even though we continue to use the euro need to firmly implement the existing stringent salvage agreement, the Greek masses will accept such a sacrifice. This is of course an extreme case, but the majority of Greeks still hope that a new round of negotiations on the agreement. But if the situation really to then times of crisis, in order to ensure that they can continue to use the euro, the Greeks will be willing to withstand the crunch pain.

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